Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000179 0.000198 0.000219 0.000244 0.000271 0.000301 0.000336
2025-04-27 0.000146 0.000175 0.000208 0.000251 0.000303 0.000367 0.000449
2025-05-04 0.000123 0.000155 0.000195 0.000250 0.000322 0.000415 0.000546
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000143 0.000188 0.000252 0.000342 0.000466 0.000652
2025-05-18 0.000096 0.000131 0.000179 0.000250 0.000355 0.000507 0.000748
2025-05-25 0.000086 0.000121 0.000171 0.000249 0.000367 0.000547 0.000847
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000113 0.000164 0.000245 0.000375 0.000581 0.000941
2025-06-08 0.000069 0.000103 0.000154 0.000237 0.000374 0.000599 0.001010
2025-06-15 0.000065 0.000099 0.000151 0.000240 0.000391 0.000648 0.001141
2025-06-22 0.000062 0.000096 0.000150 0.000245 0.000412 0.000707 0.001296
2025-06-29 0.000057 0.000090 0.000143 0.000239 0.000414 0.000732 0.001392
2025-07-06 0.000051 0.000083 0.000134 0.000229 0.000406 0.000737 0.001447
2025-07-13 0.000048 0.000079 0.000132 0.000230 0.000420 0.000789 0.001614
2025-07-20 0.000046 0.000077 0.000131 0.000235 0.000443 0.000861 0.001838
2025-07-27 0.000043 0.000074 0.000127 0.000234 0.000453 0.000909 0.002019
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000071 0.000126 0.000236 0.000470 0.000974 0.002254
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000068 0.000122 0.000235 0.000479 0.001022 0.002456
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000065 0.000119 0.000233 0.000487 0.001070 0.002671
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000062 0.000115 0.000230 0.000492 0.001111 0.002872
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000058 0.000109 0.000222 0.000484 0.001121 0.002990
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000108 0.000225 0.000502 0.001197 0.003319
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000108 0.000229 0.000526 0.001291 0.003724
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000053 0.000104 0.000224 0.000525 0.001320 0.003932